Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama State Hornets | Jackson State Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.1% | 76.9% | +6.6 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Jackson State Tigers +7 (68-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamel Waters * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Tony Armstrong * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 18 | - |
| Steve Rogers * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Bobby Brown * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 25 | - |
| Corvon Butler * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Torloft Thomas | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Chidozie Omile | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Terrance LeFlore | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Glenn Hollaway | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Jackson State Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Collins * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 21 | - |
| Yettra Specks * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Janarius Middleton * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 16 | - |
| Chace Franklin * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 31 | - |
| Raeford Worsham * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 25 | - |
| Treshawn Bolden | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Dontaveon Robinson | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kaven Bernard | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Javares Brent | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jonathan Thomas | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Troy Stancil | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter