Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama State Hornets | Elon Phoenix | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.2% | 72.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.6% | 91.4% | +13.0 | ✓ (4.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.3% | 94.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.0% | 95.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Elon Phoenix +17 (91-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamel Waters * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 25 | - |
| Steve Rogers * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Torloft Thomas * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Corvon Butler * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 31 | - |
| Bobby Brown * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Mikel Tyson | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 16 | - |
| Terrance LeFlore | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Tony Armstrong | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 21 | - |
Elon Phoenix
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Seibring * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 21 | - |
| Luke Eddy * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 32 | - |
| Christian Hairston * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 23 | - |
| Dmitri Thompson * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Tanner Samson * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 26 | - |
| Dainan Swoope | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 18 | - |
| Steve Santa Ana | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Jack Anton | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Karolis Kundrotas | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
* = starter