Model Predictions
| Model | Murray State Racers | Tennessee State Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.4% | 63.6% | +3.1 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Tennessee State Tigers +2 (73-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Jones * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 24 | - |
| Wayne Langston * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 19 | - |
| Jeffery Moss * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 17 | - |
| A.J. Patty | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Chad Culbreath | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Tennessee State Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keron DeShields * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 22 | - |
| Tahjere McCall * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 32 | - |
| Darreon Reddick * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Wayne Martin * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 22 | - |
| Demontez Loman * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Xavier Richards | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Marcus Roper | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Christian Griggs-Williams | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Samson Oyediran | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter