Model Predictions
| Model | American University Eagles | Saint Francis Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.0% | 68.0% | +4.1 | ✓ (15.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Francis Red Wolves +20 (68-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.
American University Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesse Reed * | 40 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 5-10 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Marko Vasic * | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Charlie Jones * | 17 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Alex Paquin * | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| James Washington | 27 | 2-10 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Andrija Matic | 22 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Delante Jones | 19 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 4-6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Lonnie Rivera | 18 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Jalen Rhea | 7 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
Saint Francis Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Harmon * | 37 | 0-7 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Ben Millaud-Meunier * | 31 | 5-14 | 3-11 | 6-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Greg Brown * | 27 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Ronnie Drinnon * | 25 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Isaiah Blackmon | 16 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Patrick Wrencher | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Georgios Angelou | 9 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Ifeanyi Umezurike | 9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Scott Meredith | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Andre Wolford | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Michael Klebon | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter