Model Predictions
| Model | Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | Lamar Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 97.7% | 2.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 92.0% | 8.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 97.7% | 2.3% | -20.7 | ✓ (0.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 72.9% | 27.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 96.1% | 3.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 96.1% | 3.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 85.6% | 14.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Lamar Cardinals -21 (58-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Walkup * | 31 | 3-11 | 0-3 | 12-14 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 25 | - |
| Demetrious Floyd * | 29 | 4-15 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | -3 | - |
| Ty Charles * | 23 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Trey Pinkney * | 22 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| T.J. Holyfield * | 15 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Clide Geffrard | 25 | 4-12 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Dallas Cameron | 18 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 5-7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| C.J. Williams | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 14 | - |
| Jared Johnson | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Nathan Bain | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Lasani Johnson | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| JaQuan Smith | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Lamar Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Booze * | 29 | 2-10 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -4 | - |
| Josh Nzeakor * | 22 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Dorian Chatman * | 19 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Marcus Owens * | 17 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | - |
| Quan Jones * | 14 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Preston Mattingly | 25 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Nick Garth | 18 | 2-9 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Lincoln Davis | 18 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Dontavious Sears | 12 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Zjori Bosha | 12 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| LeMon Gregory | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Boaz Williams | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter