Model Predictions
| Model | Mercer Bears | App State Mountaineers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.4% | 34.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.9% | 39.1% | -2.4 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.5% | 34.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.1% | 29.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.1% | 29.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: App State Mountaineers -1 (70-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mercer Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephon Jelks * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 17 | - |
| Phillip Leonard * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 30 | - |
| Demetre Rivers * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Desmond Ringer * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Jestin Lewis * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Jordan Strawberry | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Ethan Stair | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Lawrence Brown | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Andrew Fishler | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Cory Kilby | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
App State Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frank Eaves * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 40 | - |
| Chris Burgess * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Ronshad Shabazz * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Griffin Kinney * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Tyrell Johnson | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Jake Babic | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Michael Obacha | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Emarius Logan | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Matt O'Boyle | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter