Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | New York Liberty | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.2% | 67.8% | +4.1 | ✓ (12.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New York Liberty +17 (84-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Larkins | 31 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| S. Johnson | 31 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| T. Catchings | 29 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 1 | - |
| M. Coleman | 25 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 4-7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| S. Zellous | 22 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Briann January | 21 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| L. Clarendon | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| M. Lucas | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| N. Achonwa | 9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -2 | - |
| J. Pohlen-Mavunga | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Natasha Howard | 5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tina Charles | 36 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 21 | - |
| Epiphanny Prince | 29 | 6-12 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Kiah Stokes | 26 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 18 | - |
| S. Rodgers | 23 | 5-12 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| C. Wiggins | 20 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | - |
| E. Carson | 17 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| S. Cash | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| C. Swords | 15 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| T. Wright | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| A. Warley-Talbert | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| E. Wheeler | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
* = starter