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2016-03-05

Model Predictions

Model Oregon Ducks USC Trojans Spread Result
Elo 17.6% 82.4% -
Bradley-Terry 53.0% 47.0% -
Margin 49.7% 50.3% +0.1 (10.1 off)
Pythagorean 54.3% 45.7% -
Efficiency 87.1% 12.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 82.2% 17.8% -
Log Adjusted 82.2% 17.8% -

Actual: USC Trojans -10 (66-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Cook * 37 6-18 1-3 4-4 12 2 2 0 2 17 13 -
T. Dorsey * 32 8-11 1-2 2-2 3 0 1 0 3 19 9 -
C. Boucher * 28 1-6 0-2 3-4 8 0 1 2 0 5 10 -
C. Benson * 26 2-4 1-2 3-3 2 2 0 0 0 8 8 +7.8
D. Brooks * 22 1-6 0-2 1-2 0 2 0 0 4 3 -5 -
J. Bell 27 5-7 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 1 10 8 +4.7
D. Benjamin 25 5-7 2-3 2-2 4 1 1 0 0 14 13 +8.8
K. Small 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Jacobs * 35 2-8 0-0 1-3 4 4 1 1 4 5 3 +0.1
J. McLaughlin * 34 4-12 0-4 2-2 4 3 2 0 3 10 4 -
N. Jovanovic * 25 4-4 0-0 4-8 5 0 0 1 0 12 14 +0.2
E. Stewart * 19 2-5 2-5 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 6 3 +0.2
S. Gavrilovic * 3 1-3 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
K. Reinhardt 30 5-10 1-5 1-3 1 0 0 0 0 12 3 -4.8
B. Boatwright 26 2-8 1-5 3-4 5 2 0 1 3 8 5 -4.7
C. Metu 23 2-3 0-0 3-4 6 1 1 1 1 7 12 -
M. Marquetti 3 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
D. Clark 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter