🐻⬇️🏀

Oregon Ducks 91
@
Arizona State Sun Devils 74
2016-01-31

Model Predictions

Model Oregon Ducks Arizona State Sun Devils Spread Result
Elo 33.9% 66.1% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 58.2% 41.8% - ✓
Margin 64.7% 35.3% -3.3 ✓ (13.7 off)
Pythagorean 81.3% 18.7% - ✓
Efficiency 95.5% 4.5% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 93.7% 6.3% - ✓
Log Adjusted 93.8% 6.2% - ✓

Actual: Arizona State Sun Devils -17 (74-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Brooks * 36 5-11 1-3 7-8 6 2 2 0 2 18 15 -
C. Boucher * 36 8-12 4-8 6-8 10 0 0 7 0 26 31 -
T. Dorsey * 32 3-8 1-3 9-11 7 4 2 0 3 16 18 -
C. Benson * 29 2-4 1-3 1-3 0 4 1 0 1 6 6 +4.4
E. Cook * 25 4-8 1-2 5-6 2 3 2 0 5 14 8 -
J. Bell 20 4-5 0-0 1-2 8 1 2 0 3 9 12 -2.4
D. Benjamin 16 1-4 0-3 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 2 0 +2.7
K. Small 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -3.1
R. Sorkin 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Arizona State Sun Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Atwood * 32 2-6 1-4 2-2 4 1 0 0 3 7 3 +3.8
T. Holder * 31 3-12 2-5 4-5 2 2 0 0 2 12 2 -2.9
O. Oleka * 30 6-12 3-5 2-2 4 2 0 0 1 17 10 -3.1
G. Blakes * 26 4-8 3-5 4-4 7 3 0 0 6 15 11 +1.7
E. Jacobsen * 19 3-3 0-0 0-1 4 0 1 2 0 6 10 +1.3
K. Justice 27 4-12 3-8 0-0 1 6 3 0 2 11 7 +0.9
S. Goodman 23 2-5 0-0 2-3 6 1 0 0 1 6 7 +4.1
A. Spight 12 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 0 -2 -

* = starter