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2016-01-21

Model Predictions

Model USC Trojans Oregon Ducks Spread Result
Elo 70.1% 29.9% -
Bradley-Terry 33.3% 66.7% -
Margin 26.5% 73.5% +5.6 (2.4 off)
Pythagorean 39.7% 60.3% -
Efficiency 6.9% 93.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 11.8% 88.2% -
Log Adjusted 11.8% 88.2% -

Actual: Oregon Ducks +8 (89-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Jacobs * 36 6-11 1-2 5-6 6 5 0 0 2 18 16 -7.0
N. Jovanovic * 28 4-8 0-0 3-6 7 0 0 0 0 11 10 +10.4
J. McLaughlin * 28 1-5 1-4 0-0 1 3 2 0 1 3 3 -
K. Reinhardt * 28 3-10 2-8 0-0 2 3 1 0 1 8 3 +1.5
B. Boatwright * 28 9-18 3-9 2-2 12 3 0 0 3 23 17 -8.6
E. Stewart 25 3-8 1-5 3-4 1 0 1 2 1 10 5 +1.8
C. Metu 14 2-4 0-0 1-3 2 0 0 0 1 5 2 -
D. Clark 11 1-2 0-0 1-3 4 0 0 1 0 3 6 -
M. Marquetti 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +9.4

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Benson * 33 1-5 1-2 0-0 4 3 0 0 2 3 3 -8.6
E. Cook * 32 8-13 1-2 9-12 5 4 1 1 3 26 21 -
D. Brooks * 30 6-15 2-4 0-2 7 4 2 0 4 14 8 -
T. Dorsey * 30 3-8 1-4 1-2 7 2 0 1 1 8 9 -
C. Boucher * 26 6-8 0-0 4-6 9 1 0 2 0 16 20 -
D. Benjamin 23 6-12 3-6 1-2 0 2 2 1 0 16 9 +2.6
J. Bell 14 2-4 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 2 1 4 7 -
R. Sorkin 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
K. Small 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter