Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Missouri State Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.8% | 33.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 67.5% | 32.5% | -4.0 | ✗ (7.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.6% | 36.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.3% | 21.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.4% | 21.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Missouri State Bears +3 (84-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Wills * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Deontae Hawkins * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 24 | - |
| DeVaughn Akoon-Purcell * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 29 | - |
| Paris Lee * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 19 | - |
| MiKyle McIntosh * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Quintin Brewer | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Justin McCloud | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dequon Miller * | 41 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 24 | - |
| Jarred Dixon * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 29 | - |
| Dorrian Williams * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Obediah Church * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Robin Thompson * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Chris Kendrix | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 21 | - |
| Camyn Boone | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 16 | - |
| Tyler McCullough | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Ryan Kreklow | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
* = starter