Model Predictions
| Model | Evansville Purple Aces | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.9% | 76.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 15.1% | 84.9% | +9.5 | ✗ (20.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds -11 (55-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Wing * | 40 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 2-6 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 11 | +2.1 |
| Egidijus Mockevicius * | 38 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 20 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 28 | +12.9 |
| Jaylon Brown * | 35 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | +14.4 |
| D.J. Balentine * | 31 | 7-17 | 1-6 | 10-10 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 13 | - |
| Blake Simmons * | 22 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Mislav Brzoja | 27 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | +13.1 |
| Harris Brown | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Willie Wiley | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Banyard | 15 | 3-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Paris Lee * | 35 | 5-14 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | -11.5 |
| DeVaughn Akoon-Purcell * | 31 | 5-16 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 2 | - |
| Deontae Hawkins * | 29 | 3-15 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | -11.7 |
| Tony Wills * | 28 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | -6.8 |
| MiKyle McIntosh * | 26 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 4 | -5.2 |
| Quintin Brewer | 17 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -6.8 |
| Justin McCloud | 11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Roland Griffin | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter