Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama State Hornets | Evansville Purple Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.6% | 91.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.4% | 86.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.2% | 97.8% | +20.9 | ✓ (11.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 14.4% | 85.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Evansville Purple Aces +32 (88-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torloft Thomas * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Jamel Waters * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Steve Rogers * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Chidozie Omile * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Robert Ojeah * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Corvon Butler | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Terrance LeFlore | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Bobby Brown | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Glenn Hollaway | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Mikel Tyson | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Simmons * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Adam Wing * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 22 | - |
| Jaylon Brown * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 15 | - |
| D.J. Balentine * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 37 | - |
| Egidijus Mockevicius * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 26 | - |
| Harris Brown | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Mislav Brzoja | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Willie Wiley | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| David Howard | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
* = starter