๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2016-02-09

Model Predictions

Model Wichita State Shockers Drake Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 35.9% 64.1% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 41.0% 59.0% - โœ—
Margin 42.9% 57.1% +1.6 โœ— (27.6 off)
Pythagorean 91.0% 9.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 95.6% 4.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 95.6% 4.4% - โœ“

Actual: Drake Bulldogs -26 (48-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wichita State Shockers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Baker * 28 4-7 2-3 1-2 6 5 0 1 3 11 13 +11.6
F. VanVleet * 25 2-6 1-3 1-2 3 5 1 0 1 6 8 -
Z. Brown * 21 3-10 1-5 2-2 1 2 3 0 1 9 4 -
S. Morris * 18 5-6 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 0 11 8 +11.3
E. Wessel * 13 1-2 1-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 3 4 -
R. Kelly 19 2-4 0-0 2-2 8 2 0 1 1 6 12 +10.6
M. McDuffie 17 3-5 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 7 4 +10.4
C. Frankamp 15 2-6 2-5 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 6 4 +10.6
R. Nurger 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 0 0 2 -9.8
E. Hamilton 8 0-3 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 1 1 1 0 -0.4
J. Simon 7 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -
A. Grady 7 3-3 0-0 1-5 3 0 0 1 0 7 8 -
B. Wamukota 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 2 2 -
T. Taylor II 4 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
Z. Bush 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Drake Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dominik Olejniczak 27 2-6 0-0 5-6 2 0 0 0 2 9 3 -
Kale Abrahamson 25 1-7 0-4 2-2 7 0 0 0 0 4 4 +0.1
Reed Timmer * 38 4-10 1-2 11-12 5 2 3 0 5 20 15 +0.1
Ore Arogundade * 33 1-7 0-3 0-0 8 0 2 0 2 2 3 -10.3
Graham Woodward * 23 2-8 2-5 2-2 1 1 0 0 1 8 1 -10.3
Karl Madison 20 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -
Billy Wampler 20 1-4 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 1 -9.7
Jacob Enevold 9 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 1 0 1 2 2 3 -10.3
Nick McGlynn 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Casey Schlatter 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter