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2016-02-19

Model Predictions

Model Yale Bulldogs Princeton Tigers Spread Result
Elo 71.4% 28.6% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 40.4% 59.6% - โœ“
Margin 39.9% 60.1% +2.2 โœ“ (9.8 off)
Pythagorean 40.2% 59.8% - โœ“
Efficiency 62.0% 38.0% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 22.6% 77.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 22.7% 77.3% - โœ“

Actual: Princeton Tigers +12 (75-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Yale Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Makai Mason * 37 7-18 1-5 3-4 1 3 3 0 6 18 1 -
Justin Sears * 36 4-9 0-1 7-8 10 1 2 2 2 15 19 -14.9
Brandon Sherrod * 35 7-13 0-1 4-4 6 1 0 1 1 18 12 +1.3
Anthony Dallier * 34 2-9 0-3 0-2 7 0 3 0 2 4 3 -14.2
Nick Victor * 26 1-2 0-0 0-0 7 2 0 1 2 2 8 -0.6
Khaliq Ghani 14 0-3 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 0 -3 -
Sam Downey 9 1-1 0-0 4-4 3 0 0 0 0 6 8 -15.7
Eric Anderson 9 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Princeton Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Spencer Weisz * 38 5-7 3-4 2-2 7 3 3 0 1 15 20 -
Amir Bell * 31 4-9 1-5 2-2 2 2 4 0 3 11 7 +17.3
Henry Caruso * 31 6-16 0-3 2-4 5 2 0 0 1 14 4 +17.3
Steven Cook * 30 2-6 1-3 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 5 -2 +1.8
Pete Miller * 22 0-3 0-0 0-1 9 1 1 2 1 0 9 +17.5
Devin Cannady 26 5-7 3-4 7-8 1 0 1 1 2 20 14 -
Myles Stephens 16 2-4 0-0 4-4 1 0 0 0 2 8 3 +1.7
Alec Brennan 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 2 1 -
Aaron Young 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter