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2016-02-05

Model Predictions

Model Columbia Lions Yale Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 24.3% 75.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 16.8% 83.2% - โœ“
Margin 6.6% 93.4% +14.6 โœ“ (0.6 off)
Pythagorean 47.1% 52.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 40.7% 59.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 40.8% 59.2% - โœ“

Actual: Yale Bulldogs +14 (86-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Columbia Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nate Hickman 0 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Maodo Lo * 36 9-17 3-8 0-1 6 0 7 0 1 21 16 -12.5
Grant Mullins * 34 3-6 1-3 6-7 2 3 0 0 1 13 11 -5.6
Luke Petrasek * 20 3-6 2-5 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 8 1 -7.3
Lukas Meisner * 18 3-7 3-5 0-0 2 0 1 1 2 9 4 -7.9
Kyle Castlin * 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Alex Rosenberg 24 3-10 0-5 5-9 4 1 0 0 1 11 5 -12.8
Jeff Coby 19 3-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 6 3 -13.0
Chris McComber 15 1-4 0-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
Isaac Cohen 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 1 1 0 4 -5.9
C.J. Davis 11 1-3 0-1 0-2 1 1 2 0 0 2 3 -
Peter Barba 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
John Sica 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Yale Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Makai Mason * 36 6-10 3-6 2-2 2 3 0 0 4 17 8 +14.9
Jack Montague * 34 2-5 2-3 2-2 2 8 0 0 4 8 9 +14.1
Brandon Sherrod * 34 6-8 0-0 13-18 8 0 0 1 1 25 25 +15.1
Nick Victor * 34 2-4 2-4 0-0 9 2 0 1 6 6 8 +14.9
Justin Sears * 30 7-10 2-3 11-14 7 3 1 1 1 27 28 +14.5
Sam Downey 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Anthony Dallier 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
Khaliq Ghani 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Blake Reynolds 4 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

* = starter