Model Predictions
| Model | Youngstown State Penguins | Detroit Mercy Titans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.8% | 77.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.9% | 88.1% | +11.0 | ✓ (2.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.3% | 86.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.1% | 86.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Mercy Titans +9 (96-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Youngstown State Penguins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Donlan * | 39 | 8-14 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 15 | - |
| Cameron Morse * | 37 | 7-16 | 0-5 | 10-14 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 12 | - |
| Jordan Andrews * | 31 | 4-9 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Francisco Santiago * | 29 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Sidney Umude * | 26 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Latin Davis | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Jorden Kaufman | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Brett Frantz | 10 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Bryce Nickels | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
Detroit Mercy Titans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Jenkins * | 39 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Anton Wilson * | 36 | 10-18 | 3-8 | 11-11 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 34 | 27 | - |
| Paris Bass * | 29 | 6-14 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Jaleel Hogan * | 20 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Josh McFolley * | 19 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Matthew Grant | 21 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 7-7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Gerald Blackshear | 17 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Aaron Foster-Smith | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jarod Williams | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Carlton Brundidge | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter