Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Mercy Titans | Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.3% | 67.7% | +4.1 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.4% | 66.6% | +3.8 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Western Kentucky Hilltoppers +5 (79-74). Ratings: 2015-16 season-end ratings.
Detroit Mercy Titans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Jenkins * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 23 | - |
| Anton Wilson * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Jaleel Hogan * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Josh McFolley * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Paris Bass * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 20 | - |
| Carlton Brundidge | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Matthew Grant | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Gerald Blackshear Jr. | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Jarod Williams | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Aaron Foster-Smith | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Johnson * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 28 | - |
| Chris McNeal * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 19 | - |
| Aaron Cosby * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 25 | - |
| Fredrick Edmond * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 20 | - |
| Ben Lawson * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Nigel Snipes | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Aleksej Rostov | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Marlon Hunter | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Anton Waters | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
* = starter