Model Predictions
| Model | UTSA Roadrunners | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.6% | 96.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.0% | 96.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.0% | 98.0% | +21.5 | ✓ (13.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 13.9% | 86.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 13.0% | 87.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders +8 (79-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UTSA Roadrunners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Wilson * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 16 | 20 | - |
| Ryan Bowie * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 24 | - |
| J.R. Harris * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 20 | - |
| Lucas O'Brien * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 17 | - |
| James Ringholt * | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Nick Billingsley | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Nick Allen | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Austin Karrer | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A.J. Cockrell | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Phillip Jones | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Potts * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 39 | - |
| R. Upshaw Jr. * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 26 | - |
| P. Buford * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 18 | - |
| D. Harris * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 22 | - |
| J. Ivory * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Q. Copeland | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| J. Raymond | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| E. Simpson | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| X. Habersham | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. Phillips | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| K. Gamble | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| A. Foote | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter