Model Predictions
| Model | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | Murray State Racers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.4% | 27.6% | - | โ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.8% | 34.2% | - | โ |
| Margin | 55.2% | 44.8% | -1.1 | โ (12.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | โ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.6% | 34.4% | - | โ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.6% | 34.4% | - | โ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | โ |
Actual: Murray State Racers +11 (76-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Upshaw Jr. * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 25 | - |
| J. Raymond * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| P. Buford * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 18 | - |
| G. Potts * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 16 | - |
| J. Phillips * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Harris | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 17 | - |
| E. Simpson | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Q. Copeland | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | - |
| X. Habersham | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| A. Foote | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Gamble | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeffery Moss * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 24 | - |
| Wayne Langston * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 19 | - |
| Bryce Jones * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 20 | - |
| Chad Culbreath | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Brion Sanchious | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| A.J. Patty | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter