Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.7% | 76.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.6% | 84.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.3% | 85.7% | +9.8 | ✓ (7.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals +17 (65-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Greenwell | 38 | 4-11 | 2-3 | 4-6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| A. Stevens | 37 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 12 | 8 | - |
| O. Chidom | 29 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 12 | - |
| A. Salvadores | 28 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | - |
| K. Lambert | 25 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| A. Henson | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| C. Primm | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| L. Belton | 8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| F. Suggs | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Walton | 35 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 13 | - |
| M. Moore | 33 | 4-12 | 2-8 | 5-7 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 11 | - |
| A. Durr | 28 | 6-17 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 4 | - |
| A. Carter | 26 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 10 | - |
| M. Hines-Allen | 23 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - |
| E. DeGrate | 17 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| B. Jackson | 16 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -4 | - |
| T. Cole | 14 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| S. Fuehring | 3 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| B. Jones | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Weatherford | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter