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2016-02-18

Model Predictions

Model Virginia Cavaliers Louisville Cardinals Spread Result
Elo 8.6% 91.4% -
Bradley-Terry 5.4% 94.6% -
Margin 3.8% 96.2% +17.7 (2.7 off)
Pythagorean 36.0% 64.0% -

Actual: Louisville Cardinals +15 (74-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Mason 39 5-15 1-2 0-0 7 2 0 0 3 11 2 -
F. Randolph 39 7-17 0-2 3-4 6 2 5 0 3 17 10 -
M. Venson 38 2-8 1-4 2-2 2 2 0 0 4 7 -1 -
L. Moses 25 4-7 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 0 1 8 7 -
S. Umeri 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 -
A. Huland El 16 2-4 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 5 2 -
M. Jones 13 1-2 0-0 2-2 3 1 1 0 0 4 7 -
J. Brown 7 3-4 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 7 3 -

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Fuehring 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Weatherford 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
C. Walton 40 2-6 0-0 1-4 10 1 2 2 0 5 14 -
M. Moore 34 6-14 2-8 4-7 7 5 1 0 5 18 12 -
B. Jackson 32 5-12 0-1 1-2 3 4 1 0 1 11 6 -
M. Hines-Allen 31 9-15 0-1 4-5 11 0 1 1 1 22 19 -
A. Carter 24 0-1 0-0 1-2 2 0 1 1 2 1 2 -
A. Durr 23 6-7 3-4 0-0 4 0 1 0 2 15 11 -
T. Cole 16 0-2 0-1 2-2 2 5 0 0 1 2 6 -

* = starter