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2016-01-14

Model Predictions

Model Louisville Cardinals Virginia Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 84.3% 15.7% -
Bradley-Terry 90.8% 9.2% -
Margin 89.2% 10.8% -11.6 (6.4 off)
Pythagorean 58.0% 42.0% -

Actual: Virginia Cavaliers -18 (41-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Moore 37 4-10 2-6 1-2 5 5 3 0 5 11 9 -
C. Walton 35 4-7 0-0 4-4 6 0 3 0 1 12 13 -
M. Hines-Allen 28 6-10 0-0 4-4 7 1 0 1 1 16 14 -
A. Durr 25 4-10 1-4 1-1 2 0 3 0 1 10 4 -
A. Carter 22 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 2 0 1 0 0 -
T. Cole 21 2-4 0-1 2-2 2 3 1 0 1 6 7 -
B. Jackson 20 0-5 0-3 2-2 4 2 0 0 2 2 1 -
E. DeGrate 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
S. Fuehring 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 3 -
B. Jones 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Weatherford 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Venson 34 5-14 1-4 2-4 0 4 1 0 3 13 1 -
A. Huland El 31 2-9 0-3 2-2 2 0 0 1 6 6 -6 -
S. Umeri 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 1 2 0 5 -
L. Moses 30 2-6 0-0 2-4 11 0 2 2 3 6 12 -
B. Mason 30 5-8 2-2 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 12 8 -
J. Brown 25 1-5 0-2 2-2 2 0 1 0 3 4 -1 -
M. Jones 20 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -

* = starter