Model Predictions
| Model | Toledo Rockets | Youngstown State Penguins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.1% | 32.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.2% | 33.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 87.5% | 12.5% | -10.7 | ✓ (11.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 75.2% | 24.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.7% | 10.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.9% | 10.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 71.7% | 28.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Youngstown State Penguins -22 (78-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Sanford * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| S. Mosley * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 28 | - |
| J. Williams * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 29 | - |
| N. Boothe * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 32 | - |
| N. Navigato * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 24 | - |
| J. Lauf | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Z. Garber | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| N. Rogers | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| T. Adway | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. White | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| F. John Jr. | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Youngstown State Penguins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Donlan * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 21 | - |
| Francisco Santiago * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Bobby Hain * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Sidney Umude * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Brett Frantz * | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Cameron Morse | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 33 | - |
| Latin Davis | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | - |
| Jorden Kaufman | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | - |
| Jordan Andrews | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Devin Haygood | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ryan Strollo | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter