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2016-02-06

Model Predictions

Model Denver Pioneers Omaha Mavericks Spread Result
Elo 43.7% 56.3% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 37.3% 62.7% - โœ—
Margin 24.3% 75.7% +6.2 โœ— (9.2 off)
Pythagorean 43.9% 56.1% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 32.6% 67.4% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 32.5% 67.5% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 36.3% 63.7% - โœ—

Actual: Omaha Mavericks -3 (72-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Denver Pioneers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jake Pemberton * 37 1-3 0-1 3-3 4 4 0 0 5 5 5 -
Thomas Neff * 35 3-7 3-3 2-2 6 3 1 0 2 11 12 -
Marcus Byrd * 27 4-9 2-5 0-0 8 0 1 3 1 10 12 -
C.J. Bobbitt * 17 3-6 0-1 5-6 3 1 0 0 1 11 8 -
Joe Rosga * 15 0-3 0-0 4-4 2 1 1 0 2 4 3 -
Christian Mackey 23 4-7 0-1 6-9 9 2 0 0 3 14 15 -
Nate Engesser 20 4-11 3-8 2-2 2 0 0 0 2 13 2 -
Duke Douglas 14 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
Bryant Rucker 12 0-0 0-0 3-3 0 2 1 0 1 3 5 -

Omaha Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Patterson * 37 9-21 1-4 7-7 3 6 3 0 3 26 14 -
T. Hollins * 36 2-7 1-2 2-4 6 3 7 2 3 7 15 -
Tre'Shawn Thurman * 33 5-8 0-0 7-10 4 0 1 0 1 17 13 -
Tim Smallwood * 18 1-5 1-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 0 -
Kyler Erickson 29 1-3 1-2 1-2 1 0 0 1 1 4 2 -
Zach Jackson 14 2-3 0-0 2-2 1 1 0 1 1 6 5 -
Daniel Meyer 9 0-1 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 1 2 -

* = starter