Model Predictions
| Model | Monmouth Hawks | Fairfield Stags | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.0% | 31.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.3% | 33.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 73.9% | 26.1% | -5.7 | ✓ (6.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.2% | 15.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.3% | 15.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.6% | 38.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Fairfield Stags -12 (74-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Monmouth Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Robinson * | 30 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Micah Seaborn * | 27 | 9-16 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 9 | - |
| Josh James * | 27 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Collin Stewart * | 22 | 5-10 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Chris Brady * | 19 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Austin Tilghman | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Je'lon Hornbeak | 17 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Deon Jones | 15 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Diago Quinn | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Zac Tillman | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Pierre Sarr | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Daniel Pillari | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Fairfield Stags
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Curtis Cobb * | 35 | 5-9 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Tyler Nelson * | 33 | 6-11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Marcus Gilbert * | 31 | 7-12 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Jerome Segura * | 25 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Jonathan Kasibabu * | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Jerry Johnson | 23 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Kevin Degnan | 22 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Matija Milin | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Mike Kirkland | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter