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Northern Illinois Huskies 59
@
Ball State Cardinals 63
2016-02-19

Model Predictions

Model Northern Illinois Huskies Ball State Cardinals Spread Result
Elo 29.2% 70.8% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 33.7% 66.3% - ✓
Margin 26.5% 73.5% +5.6 ✓ (1.6 off)

Actual: Ball State Cardinals +4 (63-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Illinois Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Armstead * 31 1-13 1-4 1-2 8 1 1 0 1 4 0 +4.0
T. Baker * 31 6-10 4-7 3-3 2 2 2 0 1 19 14 +4.3
M. Maric * 27 5-7 0-0 3-8 11 1 1 0 1 13 18 -
J. Key * 19 0-6 0-1 2-2 5 1 0 2 1 2 3 +4.1
M. Wilson * 18 0-4 0-2 1-4 1 0 1 0 0 1 -1 -
L. Porter 24 2-5 0-2 2-2 2 3 0 0 0 6 6 -
C. Iroegbu 17 0-2 0-1 2-2 3 0 1 0 0 2 4 +5.6
M. Orris 14 2-4 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 4 1 -
L. Bradley 12 2-5 1-2 1-1 2 0 0 0 0 6 3 -
A. Zelis 5 0-1 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -2.5
A. Pauga 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Ball State Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Wells 9 0-0 0-0 1-4 2 0 0 1 2 1 2 -5.9
J. Tyler * 32 4-11 2-7 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 10 0 -6.0
B. Calhoun * 30 3-12 1-4 3-4 15 2 0 2 0 10 17 -3.3
F. Kiapway * 30 4-5 3-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 11 8 -4.1
R. Weber * 25 1-5 1-5 1-2 4 1 0 0 0 4 4 +2.2
F. House * 22 5-9 0-1 1-3 6 4 1 0 1 11 12 +2.1
S. Sellers 21 2-6 1-5 5-6 5 2 0 0 1 10 10 -
T. Moses 17 2-4 0-1 2-3 4 1 0 3 2 6 8 -
N. Smith 14 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 3 0 0 3 0 3 +2.2

* = starter