Model Predictions
| Model | IU Indianapolis Jaguars | Ball State Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.9% | 80.1% | +9.0 | ✓ (6.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.3% | 80.7% | +7.9 | ✓ (4.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.4% | 72.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.1% | 81.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.0% | 82.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Ball State Cardinals +3 (61-58). Ratings: 2015-16 season-end ratings.
IU Indianapolis Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darell Combs * | 31 | 8-12 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 14 | - |
| Jordan Pickett * | 30 | 1-11 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -4 | - |
| Marcellus Barksdale * | 27 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Matt O'Leary * | 23 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Nick Osborne * | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Mason Archie II | 24 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Evan Hall | 19 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Aaron Brennan | 15 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| T.J. Henderson | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Weber * | 29 | 4-6 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Franko House * | 26 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Bo Calhoun * | 24 | 4-13 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Francis Kiapway * | 24 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 5-7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Naiel Smith * | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Trey Moses | 24 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Jeremiah Davis | 17 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Jeremie Tyler | 16 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Sean Sellers | 13 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Nate Wells | 4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter