Model Predictions
| Model | Oregon State Beavers | Arizona Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.8% | 97.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.9% | 97.1% | +19.3 | ✓ (2.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 4.1% | 95.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 16.7% | 83.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 16.4% | 83.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arizona Wildcats +17 (80-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oregon State Beavers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tres Tinkle * | 37 | 5-10 | 2-6 | 4-6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 8 | -5.8 |
| G. Payton II * | 33 | 4-12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Olaf Schaftenaar * | 25 | 5-9 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Malcolm Duvivier * | 25 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -5.8 |
| Drew Eubanks * | 15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| S. Thompson | 25 | 4-14 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | -2 | - |
| Daniel Gomis | 24 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -7.2 |
| Langston Morris-Walker | 11 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Derrick Bruce | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Gligorije Rakocevic | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Matt Dahlen | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Arizona Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabe York * | 35 | 9-17 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 13 | +9.2 |
| Mark Tollefsen * | 34 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | +8.9 |
| Ryan Anderson * | 32 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 15 | +9.0 |
| Kaleb Tarczewski * | 31 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | +7.4 |
| Kadeem Allen * | 30 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 9-10 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Parker Jackson-Cartwright | 21 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Dusan Ristic | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | +1.6 |
| Justin Simon | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Chance Comanche | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter