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2016-01-09

Model Predictions

Model Arizona Wildcats USC Trojans Spread Result
Elo 70.4% 29.6% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 50.3% 49.7% - โœ—
Margin 75.6% 24.4% -6.2 โœ— (8.2 off)
Pythagorean 56.9% 43.1% - โœ—
Efficiency 89.1% 10.9% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 78.7% 21.3% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 78.8% 21.2% - โœ—

Actual: USC Trojans +2 (103-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arizona Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gabe York * 55 6-12 3-5 6-6 2 5 2 0 4 21 14 -3.2
Allonzo Trier * 53 10-19 4-10 1-4 6 4 2 0 2 25 16 -5.5
Kadeem Allen * 47 5-9 2-3 0-0 7 2 2 3 2 12 15 -
Kaleb Tarczewski * 40 7-14 0-0 2-2 12 0 1 1 2 16 14 +5.5
Ryan Anderson * 31 2-7 0-0 1-2 8 0 0 1 4 5 3 -13.9
Mark Tollefsen 29 2-5 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 1 1 5 2 -11.1
Parker Jackson-Cartwright 19 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 1 3 2 -1 -
Dusan Ristic 18 6-10 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 2 1 13 6 -4.9
Justin Simon 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 2 4 -3.3

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Jacobs * 53 5-17 0-0 8-10 6 9 7 1 5 18 19 -1.8
J. McLaughlin * 50 5-12 2-6 5-6 5 4 0 1 1 17 14 -
N. Jovanovic * 48 7-14 0-1 3-4 6 0 0 4 2 17 11 +17.0
B. Boatwright * 41 4-12 2-8 5-6 3 0 1 1 0 15 8 +2.3
K. Reinhardt * 28 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 2 1 0 3 2 2 +0.6
E. Stewart 49 9-13 5-8 4-5 4 0 0 0 0 27 18 +10.6
C. Metu 16 3-6 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 0 6 4 -
D. Clark 15 0-2 0-0 1-2 7 0 0 2 0 1 8 -6.9

* = starter