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2016-01-23

Model Predictions

Model UC Davis Aggies Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors Spread Result
Elo 8.6% 91.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 8.2% 91.8% - โœ“
Margin 4.8% 95.2% +16.4 โœ“ (0.4 off)
Pythagorean 24.6% 75.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.3% 98.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.2% 98.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 19.0% 81.0% - โœ“

Actual: Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors +16 (78-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UC Davis Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brynton Lemar * 39 5-7 1-1 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 12 6 -
Darius Graham * 36 2-5 2-3 0-0 1 3 0 0 2 6 3 -
Siler Schneider * 34 3-8 0-3 2-2 2 2 3 0 5 8 2 -
Josh Fox * 33 10-15 0-0 5-8 8 3 1 0 3 25 19 -
Neal Monson * 31 2-8 0-0 3-4 4 1 1 0 2 7 3 -
Garrison Goode 15 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
Rogers Printup 10 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Georgi Funtarov 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Michael Onyebalu 1 0-0 0-0 0-1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Roderick Bobbitt * 37 2-6 1-5 4-4 3 7 4 0 2 9 15 -
Isaac Fleming * 36 5-9 3-6 0-0 2 4 0 0 2 13 8 -
Quincy Smith * 34 6-11 2-4 4-7 1 3 4 1 0 18 16 -
Stefan Jankovic * 26 8-11 2-5 4-4 8 1 0 1 0 22 21 -
Mike Thomas * 25 2-5 0-2 0-0 4 0 2 0 3 4 2 -
Stefan Jovanovic 14 1-1 0-0 4-4 4 1 0 1 1 6 10 -
Sai Tummala 14 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 3 2 -
Sheriff Drammeh 8 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
Niko Filipovich 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Dyrbe Enos 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Brocke Stepteau 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Zach Buscher 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter