Model Predictions
| Model | USC Trojans | California Golden Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.4% | 70.6% | +4.8 | ✓ (17.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: California Golden Bears +22 (87-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
USC Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Jacobs * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 20 | - |
| N. Jovanovic * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 26 | - |
| J. McLaughlin * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 11 | - |
| C. Metu * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
| B. Boatwright * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| E. Stewart | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| K. Reinhardt | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| M. Marquetti | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| M. Martin | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| S. Gavrilovic | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
California Golden Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jabari Bird * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 21 | - |
| Jaylen Brown * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 28 | - |
| Ivan Rabb * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 29 | - |
| Tyrone Wallace * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 20 | - |
| Kingsley Okoroh * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Jordan Mathews | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 21 | - |
| Sam Singer | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Kameron Rooks | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Stephen Domingo | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Brenden Glapion | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter