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2015-12-28

Model Predictions

Model Davidson Wildcats California Golden Bears Spread Result
Elo 27.2% 72.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 31.4% 68.6% - โœ“
Margin 10.9% 89.1% +11.6 โœ“ (14.4 off)
Pythagorean 37.3% 62.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 9.7% 90.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 9.5% 90.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 26.6% 73.4% - โœ“

Actual: California Golden Bears +26 (86-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Davidson Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brian Sullivan * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 0 0 5 10 -
Peyton Aldridge * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 0 2 15 21 -
Jack Gibbs * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 1 0 4 7 12 -
Oskar Michelsen * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 6 7 -
Nathan Ekwu * 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 1 2 6 9 -
Jordan Watkins 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 1 0 1 9 13 -
Andrew McAuliffe 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 2 8 -
Rusty Reigel 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
Jordan Barham 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 8 9 -

California Golden Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyrone Wallace * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 4 1 1 4 7 11 -
Ivan Rabb * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 1 0 1 2 12 23 -
Jordan Mathews * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 1 0 0 22 29 -
Jaylen Brown * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 2 0 1 6 17 21 -
Kameron Rooks * 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 2 1 2 8 -
Jabari Bird 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 4 1 0 2 9 15 -
Sam Singer 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 4 1 0 0 5 13 -
Stephen Domingo 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 1 1 6 14 -
Kingsley Okoroh 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 4 2 2 5 -
Roger Moute a Bidias 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 5 -
Brenden Glapion 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Brandon Chauca 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Cole Welle 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter