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2016-01-18

Model Predictions

Model Purdue Boilermakers Rutgers Scarlet Knights Spread Result
Elo 90.4% 9.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 66.8% 33.2% - โœ“
Margin 82.0% 18.0% -8.3 โœ“ (41.7 off)
Pythagorean 94.1% 5.9% - โœ“
Efficiency 96.9% 3.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 96.1% 3.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 96.2% 3.8% - โœ“

Actual: Rutgers Scarlet Knights -50 (57-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Caleb Swanigan * 21 5-7 0-1 2-3 13 2 0 0 1 12 19 -
Vince Edwards * 19 6-10 0-1 0-0 8 3 1 0 0 12 14 +12.5
Johnny Hill * 19 3-6 0-0 3-3 9 3 2 1 1 9 17 +23.8
Rapheal Davis * 16 5-12 1-4 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 11 0 -
A.J. Hammons * 14 2-8 0-1 2-2 9 0 0 1 0 6 8 -
Ryan Cline 20 3-6 3-5 0-1 2 0 0 0 0 9 5 +23.9
P.J. Thompson 19 2-3 1-2 2-2 2 2 1 0 0 7 9 -
Dakota Mathias 17 4-8 2-6 2-2 1 2 0 0 0 12 7 +24.0
Isaac Haas 17 3-7 0-0 3-6 2 1 0 0 0 9 5 +11.2
Kendall Stephens 16 2-6 2-6 2-2 2 2 1 0 0 8 7 -10.7
Jacquil Taylor 14 4-6 2-3 2-2 10 1 0 1 0 12 18 -0.2
Grady Eifert 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Stephen Toyra 4 0-0 0-0 0-1 0 2 0 0 1 0 1 -

Rutgers Scarlet Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Sanders * 36 10-20 1-3 2-4 2 3 0 1 3 23 6 -19.9
B. Daniels * 36 3-7 0-1 0-2 3 3 0 1 2 6 4 -20.3
D.J. Foreman * 35 4-6 0-0 5-6 7 3 0 1 1 13 17 -
O. Grier * 26 2-10 1-6 0-2 2 0 0 0 1 5 -4 -20.2
G. Lewis * 20 2-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 4 3 -10.1
M. Williams 21 0-5 0-3 4-4 1 0 1 0 0 4 1 -
J. Goode 18 0-2 0-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
J. Dadika 5 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -
J. Hyde 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter