Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama State Hornets | Winthrop Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.1% | 86.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.6% | 80.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.3% | 90.7% | +12.5 | ✓ (4.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.5% | 93.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.2% | 93.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Winthrop Eagles +8 (92-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamel Waters * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 27 | - |
| Steve Rogers * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 23 | - |
| Bobby Brown * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 19 | - |
| Corvon Butler * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 28 | - |
| Tony Armstrong * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 19 | - |
| Torloft Thomas | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Terrance LeFlore | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Chidozie Omile | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Glenn Hollaway | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Joseff Smith | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Mikel Tyson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Winthrop Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Gavin * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 31 | - |
| Xavier Cooks * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 25 | - |
| Keon Johnson * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 19 | - |
| Roderick Perkins * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Bjorn Broman | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Josh Davenport | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 16 | - |
| Adam Pickett | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Jarad Scott | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter