Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | Saint Joseph's Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.2% | 29.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.8% | 32.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 69.4% | 30.6% | -4.5 | ✗ (13.5 off) |
| Efficiency | 20.8% | 79.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Joseph's Hawks +9 (79-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dyshawn Pierre * | 40 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 18 | -6.9 |
| Charles Cooke * | 35 | 7-19 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 5 | -6.7 |
| Scoochie Smith * | 34 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Kyle Davis * | 14 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +1.0 |
| Sam Miller * | 13 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | -9.4 |
| Darrell Davis | 28 | 5-14 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | +1.8 |
| Steve McElvene | 18 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | +1.8 |
| Bobby Wehrli | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| John Crosby | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.6 |
| Ryan Mikesell | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +9.4 |
Saint Joseph's Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeAndre Bembry * | 40 | 7-18 | 0-3 | 2-5 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 14 | +9.8 |
| Aaron Brown * | 31 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | -0.5 |
| Isaiah Miles * | 29 | 5-13 | 0-7 | 2-2 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 16 | -0.3 |
| Shavar Newkirk * | 19 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Pierfrancesco Oliva * | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - |
| James Demery | 28 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | +9.8 |
| Lamarr Kimble | 21 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 14 | +9.9 |
| Papa Ndao | 12 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +10.0 |
| Javon Baumann | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -9.8 |
* = starter