Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | Fordham Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.8% | 38.2% | -5.0 | ✓ (9.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.2% | 26.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 74.3% | 25.7% | -5.8 | ✓ (8.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.2% | 14.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.3% | 14.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Fordham Rams -14 (50-64). Ratings: 2015-16 season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Cooke * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 36 | - |
| Dyshawn Pierre * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 23 | - |
| Scoochie Smith * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Kyle Davis * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 21 | - |
| Kendall Pollard * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Steve McElvene | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Darrell Davis | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| John Crosby | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Sam Miller | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Fordham Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mandell Thomas * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 18 | - |
| Christian Sengfelder * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Joseph Chartouny * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Ryan Rhoomes * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 21 | - |
| Antwoine Anderson * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jon Severe | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Nemanja Zarkovic | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Ryan Canty | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| David Pekarek | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jesse Bunting | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Nych Smith | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter