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Davidson Wildcats 74
@
Dayton Flyers 80
2016-01-12

Model Predictions

Model Davidson Wildcats Dayton Flyers Spread Result
Elo 34.0% 66.0% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 30.2% 69.8% - ✓
Margin 20.1% 79.9% +7.6 ✓ (1.6 off)
Pythagorean 38.1% 61.9% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 18.5% 81.5% - ✓
Log Adjusted 18.3% 81.7% - ✓
Points Off/Def 33.5% 66.5% - ✓

Actual: Dayton Flyers +6 (80-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Davidson Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jack Gibbs * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 6 0 0 4 31 34 -
Brian Sullivan * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 4 0 0 1 8 15 -
Peyton Aldridge * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 2 0 1 1 15 27 -
Nathan Ekwu * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 0 1 1 1 3 13 -
Oskar Michelsen * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 0 5 -
Jordan Watkins 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 11 15 -
Andrew McAuliffe 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
Jordan Barham 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 4 6 -

Dayton Flyers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Scoochie Smith * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 4 0 0 3 18 19 -
Darrell Davis * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 2 0 2 6 12 -
Dyshawn Pierre * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 3 0 1 2 16 28 -
Kyle Davis * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 1 0 0 14 21 -
Kendall Pollard * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 2 14 19 -
Steve McElvene 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 1 0 4 12 -
Ryan Mikesell 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 8 10 -
John Crosby 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
Sam Miller 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter