Model Predictions
| Model | George Mason Patriots | Davidson Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.5% | 86.5% | +12.4 | ✓ (6.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.2% | 80.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.6% | 86.4% | +10.2 | ✓ (4.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.9% | 84.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.8% | 84.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Davidson Wildcats +6 (81-75). Ratings: 2015-16 season-end ratings.
George Mason Patriots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marquise Moore * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 24 | - |
| Jaire Grayer * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 19 | - |
| O. Livingston II * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 19 | - |
| DeAndre Abram * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Shevon Thompson * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Marko Gujanicic | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Jalen Jenkins | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 28 | - |
| Kameron Murrell | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Davidson Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peyton Aldridge * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Brian Sullivan * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 22 | - |
| Jack Gibbs * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 39 | - |
| Oskar Michelsen * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Nathan Ekwu * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Jordan Watkins | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Jordan Barham | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Andrew McAuliffe | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Rusty Reigel | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
* = starter