Model Predictions
| Model | Columbia Lions | Dartmouth Big Green | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.7% | 36.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 38.4% | 61.6% | +2.6 | ✗ (19.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.2% | 10.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.3% | 10.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dartmouth Big Green -17 (60-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Columbia Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maodo Lo * | 31 | 6-13 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 16 | -8.3 |
| Grant Mullins * | 26 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 4-8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 13 | -7.0 |
| Luke Petrasek * | 22 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 11 | +1.5 |
| Kyle Castlin * | 21 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -7.7 |
| Lukas Meisner * | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Alex Rosenberg | 19 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 3-6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 7 | - |
| C.J. Davis | 18 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 2 | -8.2 |
| Jeff Coby | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | -8.6 |
| Chris McComber | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Nate Hickman | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +1.5 |
| Isaac Cohen | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Conor Voss | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| John Sica | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Dartmouth Big Green
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Boudreaux * | 29 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 10 | +9.5 |
| C. Boehm * | 21 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| M. Wright * | 20 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | -0.8 |
| M. Fleming * | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | -1.3 |
| G. Smith * | 9 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| M. Gill | 21 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | -2 | +9.0 |
| K. Crescenzi | 17 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | +9.1 |
| T. Johnson | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| C. Smith | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +17.2 |
| W. Dickinson | 12 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 7 | -1.3 |
| C. Harrison | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| B. McDonnell | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.6 |
| T. Carpenter | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Q. Payne | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Stones | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| I. Ngwudo | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter