Model Predictions
| Model | Xavier Musketeers | Providence Friars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 52.1% | 47.9% | -0.5 | ✓ (6.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.4% | 40.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 79.3% | 20.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.7% | 20.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.6% | 20.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Providence Friars -7 (68-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Xavier Musketeers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Davis * | 35 | 5-10 | 1-6 | 2-3 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 15 | -0.9 |
| J. Reynolds * | 31 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 12 | +8.6 |
| E. Sumner * | 31 | 0-9 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | - |
| T. Bluiett * | 27 | 6-10 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 9 | +8.5 |
| R. Abell * | 21 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| J.P. Macura | 22 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| J. Farr | 18 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 9 | +8.4 |
| S. O'Mara | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +9.1 |
| K. Gates | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Austin Jr. | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
Providence Friars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Bentil * | 39 | 8-18 | 2-6 | 7-9 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 12 | - |
| K. Dunn * | 38 | 6-15 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 19 | -3.4 |
| K. Cartwright * | 34 | 2-11 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | -4.1 |
| J. Lomomba * | 33 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | -4.4 |
| R. Bullock * | 28 | 1-9 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -3.5 |
| J. Lindsey | 17 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| R. Fazekas | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D. Edwards | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Council II | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter