Model Predictions
| Model | Xavier Musketeers | Butler Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 52.1% | 47.9% | -0.5 | ✓ (16.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.3% | 38.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 87.2% | 12.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.2% | 15.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.0% | 16.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Butler Bulldogs -17 (57-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Xavier Musketeers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Bluiett * | 34 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | +25.3 |
| R. Abell * | 31 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | +25.4 |
| J. Farr * | 29 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 9 | +25.2 |
| M. Davis * | 17 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 6 | - |
| J. Reynolds * | 8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| E. Sumner | 26 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 15 | - |
| J.P. Macura | 25 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| K. Gates | 15 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 8 | +7.9 |
| L. Austin Jr. | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. O'Mara | 7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +16.9 |
Butler Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Chrabascz * | 34 | 5-13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 1 | -20.6 |
| K. Martin * | 34 | 6-20 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 9 | - |
| K. Dunham * | 34 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 1 | -20.9 |
| R. Jones * | 32 | 2-11 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -20.3 |
| T. Wideman * | 26 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -20.9 |
| T. Lewis | 14 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| J. Gathers | 13 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| A. Etherington | 8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| J. Davis | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| N. Fowler | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter