๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2016-01-23

Model Predictions

Model Butler Bulldogs Creighton Bluejays Spread Result
Elo 20.6% 79.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 29.6% 70.4% - โœ“
Margin 21.1% 78.9% +7.2 โœ“ (0.8 off)
Pythagorean 38.3% 61.7% - โœ“
Efficiency 58.0% 42.0% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 23.0% 77.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 23.1% 76.9% - โœ“

Actual: Creighton Bluejays +8 (72-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Butler Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jackson Davis 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Kellen Dunham * 40 7-14 3-3 3-4 4 0 1 0 2 20 9 +1.6
Roosevelt Jones * 36 4-13 0-0 3-3 10 4 1 1 3 11 11 -0.8
Andrew Chrabascz * 27 0-6 0-1 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 2 -2 +2.8
Tyler Wideman * 27 1-3 0-0 2-5 10 1 0 0 2 4 10 +1.6
Jordan Gathers * 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 -1 -
Kelan Martin 35 8-23 3-8 3-4 11 2 2 0 1 22 13 -
Austin Etherington 26 1-4 1-4 2-2 5 0 1 0 2 5 5 -1.5
Trey Pettus 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Creighton Bluejays

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
I. Zierden * 40 3-9 2-8 5-6 4 1 0 0 0 13 9 +1.2
T. Hegner * 29 4-9 2-4 0-0 6 1 1 1 0 10 10 -1.2
M. Watson Jr. * 27 6-10 0-2 8-12 1 6 1 0 4 20 14 +4.9
G. Groselle * 18 3-5 0-0 4-8 8 0 0 2 1 10 14 +2.6
K. Thomas * 18 1-3 0-1 0-2 1 2 0 0 1 2 1 -
J. Milliken 20 0-5 0-3 2-2 3 2 0 0 1 2 1 +1.7
Z. Hanson 20 2-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 2 1 4 8 -1.4
C. Huff 14 3-8 1-4 1-3 5 1 0 0 0 8 6 -
T. Clement 11 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -0.2
R. Harrell Jr. 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter