Model Predictions
| Model | Butler Bulldogs | Xavier Musketeers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.7% | 75.3% | +6.1 | ✓ (12.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 6.8% | 93.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.8% | 90.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.0% | 90.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Xavier Musketeers +19 (88-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Butler Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Jones * | 30 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 13 | -12.9 |
| K. Martin * | 30 | 5-13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 5 | - |
| J. Gathers * | 20 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | +5.2 |
| T. Wideman * | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -13.5 |
| A. Etherington * | 7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| A. Chrabascz | 27 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | +2.3 |
| K. Dunham | 26 | 4-12 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 4 | -13.6 |
| T. Lewis | 24 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | +5.2 |
| N. Fowler | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| J. Davis | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | +1.0 |
| S. Bennett | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Xavier Musketeers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Abell * | 36 | 7-8 | 3-3 | 4-5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 19 | - |
| T. Bluiett * | 34 | 5-12 | 1-6 | 2-4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | +5.4 |
| J. Reynolds * | 28 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 16 | +5.5 |
| M. Davis * | 25 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 6 | - |
| J. Farr * | 23 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 11 | +12.5 |
| J.P. Macura | 21 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| K. Gates | 12 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 12 | +12.3 |
| L. Austin Jr. | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | +12.2 |
| S. O'Mara | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | +12.2 |
| K. Coker | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Burgess | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| A. Bergen | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Stainbrook | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter