Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Pilots | Saint Mary's Gaels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.8% | 93.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 8.4% | 91.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.8% | 96.2% | +17.8 | ✓ (2.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 17.0% | 83.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Mary's Gaels +15 (89-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Pilots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Pressley * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 23 | - |
| A. Wintering * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 19 | - |
| G. Taylor * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| J. Todd * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| R. Barreno * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| D. Tyson | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 18 | - |
| J. Johnson | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| P. Hartwich | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| M. Livingston | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| J. Marshall | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Russell | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| R. Jackson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| X. Hallinan | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Rahon * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 20 | - |
| Emmett Naar * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 27 | - |
| Calvin Hermanson * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Dane Pineau * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 34 | - |
| Evan Fitzner * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 19 | - |
| Kyle Clark | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Jock Landale | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Stefan Gonzalez | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Franklin Porter | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jordan Hunter | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jack Biebel | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter