Model Predictions
| Model | Montana Grizzlies | Gonzaga Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.5% | 97.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 6.0% | 94.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.7% | 99.3% | +26.9 | ✓ (23.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +3 (61-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Breunig * | 36 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 12 | +3.5 |
| W. Wright * | 36 | 6-16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 3 | -0.9 |
| B. Gfeller * | 28 | 3-11 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | +4.1 |
| F. Krslovic * | 19 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | -1.1 |
| M. Oguine * | 19 | 0-8 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -5 | +3.5 |
| J. Lopez | 32 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 12 | +4.0 |
| B. Moorehead | 19 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +4.4 |
| B. Boehning | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Gonzaga Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Wiltjer * | 38 | 6-16 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 8 | -0.6 |
| J. Perkins * | 35 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 9 | -3.3 |
| D. Sabonis * | 32 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 21 | - |
| K. Dranginis * | 30 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| E. McClellan * | 27 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | -1.1 |
| S. Melson | 23 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.6 |
| R. Edwards | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| B. Alberts | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -1.4 |
| D. Triano | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | +1.5 |
* = starter