Model Predictions
| Model | UMBC Retrievers | Stony Brook Seawolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.4% | 97.6% | +26.3 | ✓ (14.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 5.0% | 95.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.9% | 98.1% | +21.6 | ✓ (9.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 18.1% | 81.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 12.8% | 87.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Stony Brook Seawolves +12 (86-74). Ratings: 2015-16 season-end ratings.
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jairus Lyles * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 31 | - |
| Joe Sherburne * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 20 | - |
| Rodney Elliott * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Will Darley * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Jourdan Grant * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Nolan Gerrity | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Joel Wincowski | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Stony Brook Seawolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carson Puriefoy * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 19 | - |
| Jameel Warney * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 36 | - |
| Ahmad Walker * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 19 | - |
| Rayshaun McGrew * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 26 | - |
| Bryan Sekunda * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 23 | - |
| Lucas Woodhouse | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Roland Nyama | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Tyrell Sturdivant | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter