Model Predictions
| Model | UMBC Retrievers | Longwood Lancers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.0% | 76.0% | +7.2 | ✗ (18.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 23.3% | 76.7% | +6.6 | ✗ (17.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Longwood Lancers -11 (59-70). Ratings: 2015-16 season-end ratings.
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodney Elliott * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 22 | - |
| Joe Sherburne * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 23 | - |
| Will Darley * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 23 | - |
| Jourdan Grant * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Sam Schwietz * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Daquon Ervin | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Ben Grace | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Joel Wincowski | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Longwood Lancers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kanayo Obi-Rapu * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Leron Fisher * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Darrion Allen * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 16 | - |
| Khris Lane * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Chris Shields | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Bryan Gee | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Isaac Belton | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Al Burge | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter