Model Predictions
| Model | Colgate Raiders | UMBC Retrievers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.4% | 27.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.6% | 32.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 67.2% | 32.8% | -3.9 | ✓ (4.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.6% | 38.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.0% | 24.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.1% | 23.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UMBC Retrievers -8 (63-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colgate Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Ramon * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 21 | - |
| Malcolm Regisford * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Jordan Robertson * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Tom Rivard * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Sean O'Brien | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Jordan Swopshire | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Dave Krmpotich | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| David Favorite | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Francisco Amiel | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Sherburne * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 18 | - |
| Will Darley * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 25 | - |
| Rodney Elliott * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Joel Wincowski * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jourdan Grant | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 25 | - |
| Ben Grace | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Daquon Ervin | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Sam Schwietz | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Malcolm Brent | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter