Model Predictions
| Model | Navy Midshipmen | UMBC Retrievers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.8% | 23.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.5% | 24.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 78.2% | 21.8% | -7.0 | ✓ (14.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 70.0% | 30.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.4% | 13.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.5% | 13.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 64.6% | 35.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UMBC Retrievers -21 (54-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Navy Midshipmen
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Kelly * | 30 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 6 | - |
| T. Lacey * | 29 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | - |
| T. Dunbar * | 25 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 4-6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 9 | - |
| S. Anderson * | 24 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 9 | - |
| K. Knorr * | 24 | 7-12 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 9 | - |
| E. Alade | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| B. Dulin | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| N. Fox | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Abruzzo | 11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| R. Pearson | 6 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| H. Abdullah | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Hemphill | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Z. Fong | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Sherburne * | 37 | 4-11 | 0-5 | 6-7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Jourdan Grant * | 28 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Rodney Elliott * | 23 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 7-7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Malcolm Brent * | 21 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Daquon Ervin | 17 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Joel Wincowski | 16 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Will Darley | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Ben Grace | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Sam Schwietz | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Ishmail Jabbie | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter